Monday, April 20, 2009
Yeah, That Could Totally Be It. That, Or He Isn't On Steriods Anymore...
From Jayson Stark's article "Reality or Illusion?":
--Ugly. David Ortiz (.170 AVG., 1 extra-base hit, 14 K, 8 hits) -- REALITY: Every scout we've talked to who has seen Ortiz is downright alarmed by his vanishing bat speed. "He's starting to go quick," one scout said. "His body is breaking down on him. He isn't even catching up to average fastballs, and he's not even driving the ball the other way. If he can't hit the fastball, they're going to eat him alive. I don't think he's going to be a .170 hitter. But he's not a guy who can carry a club -- not anymore."
Boy oh boy Jimmy, this is a gosh-darned muckety muck. I mean, gee willikers, I just don't understand! It's not like he was a 20-HR guy before he went to Boston and then blew u...wait, he was? He did, in fact, go from having a career-high of 20 home runs, then the very next year hit 31? Then 41 after that one? Then 47 after that one? Then 54 after that one? Then all the way down to 35 again*?
*Side note: I was suprised to see his OPS+ actually increased the year he started to come back to earth with his HR totals. Interesting. Whatever. He's clearly a steriod guy.
Some other notes form Stark's column:
The Bad: Roy Oswalt (0-2, 4.26, only 10 K in 19 IP) -- REALITY: After two messy starts, Oswalt threw six shutout innings against the Reds on Friday. But the baseball community no longer talks about him with anywhere near the reverence it used to. "He's definitely now more heart that stuff," one NL executive said. "I love him, but I think the arrow is pointing down. He used to have an overpowering fastball. Now it's not there. His curve is still a good pitch. But it's not a power strikeout pitch. He still has good enough stuff, but he lacks that put-away stuff he used to have."
Huh. Weird. Oh well, at least all those preseason mags were stupid and the Astros are surprising peop....wait, what's that? The Astros are 4-8? Good enough for dead last? Really?!? Because Mayfield was telling me they were going to be awesome. Can't believe he would be wrong when trying to speak about his favorite team's chances this year without an ounce of objectivity.
OK, to be fair....
The Bad: Derrek Lee (.217 AVG., 283 OBP, .348 slugging percentage) -- REALITY: We had a couple of "illusion" votes on Lee, but they didn't carry anywhere near the conviction of the people who think this man is fading. "This is a tough one, but Derrek Lee might really be slowing down," one front-office man said. "He's only 33 years old, but his power completely dropped off in the second half last year, as did his other numbers." Another variation of the same theme: "He really hasn't been the same guy since getting hurt [a broken wrist in 2006]."
It didn't look good the first week or two, but Lee may be coming on here. His last 7 days splits have seen his SLG go from .381 to .556, and subsequently has seen his OPS go from .687 to .871.
I know most people want to write off D-Lee, and I'm pretty close myself. But I'm not ready to yet. He may just be warming up.
Ryan Oswalt, though? Yeah, he's totally through.
Enjoy the rest of your Monday, nerds!
--Ugly. David Ortiz (.170 AVG., 1 extra-base hit, 14 K, 8 hits) -- REALITY: Every scout we've talked to who has seen Ortiz is downright alarmed by his vanishing bat speed. "He's starting to go quick," one scout said. "His body is breaking down on him. He isn't even catching up to average fastballs, and he's not even driving the ball the other way. If he can't hit the fastball, they're going to eat him alive. I don't think he's going to be a .170 hitter. But he's not a guy who can carry a club -- not anymore."
Boy oh boy Jimmy, this is a gosh-darned muckety muck. I mean, gee willikers, I just don't understand! It's not like he was a 20-HR guy before he went to Boston and then blew u...wait, he was? He did, in fact, go from having a career-high of 20 home runs, then the very next year hit 31? Then 41 after that one? Then 47 after that one? Then 54 after that one? Then all the way down to 35 again*?
*Side note: I was suprised to see his OPS+ actually increased the year he started to come back to earth with his HR totals. Interesting. Whatever. He's clearly a steriod guy.
Some other notes form Stark's column:
The Bad: Roy Oswalt (0-2, 4.26, only 10 K in 19 IP) -- REALITY: After two messy starts, Oswalt threw six shutout innings against the Reds on Friday. But the baseball community no longer talks about him with anywhere near the reverence it used to. "He's definitely now more heart that stuff," one NL executive said. "I love him, but I think the arrow is pointing down. He used to have an overpowering fastball. Now it's not there. His curve is still a good pitch. But it's not a power strikeout pitch. He still has good enough stuff, but he lacks that put-away stuff he used to have."
Huh. Weird. Oh well, at least all those preseason mags were stupid and the Astros are surprising peop....wait, what's that? The Astros are 4-8? Good enough for dead last? Really?!? Because Mayfield was telling me they were going to be awesome. Can't believe he would be wrong when trying to speak about his favorite team's chances this year without an ounce of objectivity.
OK, to be fair....
The Bad: Derrek Lee (.217 AVG., 283 OBP, .348 slugging percentage) -- REALITY: We had a couple of "illusion" votes on Lee, but they didn't carry anywhere near the conviction of the people who think this man is fading. "This is a tough one, but Derrek Lee might really be slowing down," one front-office man said. "He's only 33 years old, but his power completely dropped off in the second half last year, as did his other numbers." Another variation of the same theme: "He really hasn't been the same guy since getting hurt [a broken wrist in 2006]."
It didn't look good the first week or two, but Lee may be coming on here. His last 7 days splits have seen his SLG go from .381 to .556, and subsequently has seen his OPS go from .687 to .871.
I know most people want to write off D-Lee, and I'm pretty close myself. But I'm not ready to yet. He may just be warming up.
Ryan Oswalt, though? Yeah, he's totally through.
Enjoy the rest of your Monday, nerds!
Labels: Boston Red Sox, Chicago Cubs, David Ortiz, Derrek Lee, Houston Astros, Roy Boy Oswalt
Wednesday, November 21, 2007
Thanks for the Millions, Chicago, But I Have A Bandwagon To Catch
So it's looking like there's a good chance that Kerry Wood ends up with the Red Sox in 2008.
I would guess that he still ends up with the Cubs. He seems like a Chicago guy anymore, and seems like a loyal guy, too.
But if he were to leave for Boston because of money, it would be pretty disgusting. All the--literally--millions of dollars the Cubs have given the guy to NOT PITCH, and for him to turn around and bolt as soon as he's seemingly healthy? That would be incredibly disappointing. Despite the ridiculously bad luck the guy has had, and the overall negative impact he's had on the payroll, I've always really liked him and rooted for him to get better and live up to the promise he's always had.
That said, seeing the Red Sox watch millions from their payroll balled up in pain because Kerry's arm just fell off would be entertaining.
Have fun with that, Deuce!
I would guess that he still ends up with the Cubs. He seems like a Chicago guy anymore, and seems like a loyal guy, too.
But if he were to leave for Boston because of money, it would be pretty disgusting. All the--literally--millions of dollars the Cubs have given the guy to NOT PITCH, and for him to turn around and bolt as soon as he's seemingly healthy? That would be incredibly disappointing. Despite the ridiculously bad luck the guy has had, and the overall negative impact he's had on the payroll, I've always really liked him and rooted for him to get better and live up to the promise he's always had.
That said, seeing the Red Sox watch millions from their payroll balled up in pain because Kerry's arm just fell off would be entertaining.
Have fun with that, Deuce!
Labels: Boston Red Sox, Chicago Cubs, I bet Mark Prior would look good in a Boston uniform too, Kerry Wood, Tommy John
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